The best starting XV has looked pretty settled for some weeks now, but a decline in the most recent form of some and some very positive signs from others returning from injury, has provided plenty of options. Some of them look decidedly better options than the 'status quo' of the TRI-Nations championship winning line-up.
I'll throw in a team – ignoring injuries – which I believe could give us the best chance of our maximum performance. From 1 to 15 - Slipper, Moore, Alexander, Vickerman, Sharpe, Elsom, Pocock, Palu, Genia (c), Barnes, Ioane, Horne, Ashley-Cooper, O'Connor, Beale. Reserves – Kepu, Polota-Nau, Horwill, Samo, Burgess, Cooper, Mitchell.
Some explanations.
| • | Slipper offers more at the scrum and more 'no hesitation' commitment at the tackle contest, in fact more than Alexander also. Kepu is a superb athlete, but he needs to toughen up! |
| • | TPN is looking better each match and another run v Russia will just about bring him up to top form. |
| • | Sharpe and Vickerman, imo, provide a better balance between the #2 & #4 jumpers and the tighter rhs-lock role and the ball-carrying lhs role. Sharpe also brings proven leadership qualities. I have not been impressed with Horwill and he gives much the same as Vickerman, only not as well. |
| • | Samo has been going backwards since the win over the All Blacks and I'm guessing that he would welcome a less responsible, less match-time role. My only possible change here would be Higginbotham for Samo on the bench. Higgers has many qualities which would enable him to play all three backrow spots – if only we could get him to play somewhere near the ball! |
| • | Genia as captain. I actually saw some leadership on Friday night! |
| • | Barnes for Cooper. Cooper needs to get his head right – dare I say "again". We don't need the "all or nothing" plays, all of the time. Barnes looks our best kicker, both for goal and out-of-hand. |
| • | Horne at inside-centre. He can take the ball up, but actually offer options in his carries. He understands the role, whereas, in the words of Phil Kearns, he "has seen McCabe pass the ball ONCE in all of his tests". |
| • | We have three world-class wingers, but can only choose two in the starting lineup. Mitchell will cover lots of spots with the versatility of AAC, O'Connor and Ioane. |
| • | Rocky will have to cover for any injury at #7. He is positive, aggressive and brave – that will do me for starters. |
| • | Burgess looked better v USA. He actually followed the play and passed from the ground – sometimes under real pressure. |
| • | Cooper could provide a real difference off the bench and present an entirely different picture to the defence. |
Too late for changes? It's never too late for the right changes. It will be a brave move, for sure, but I would rather go down fighting than just surrender. Last week, I used the words "wonder plays from the wonder boys" to describe our attacking philosophy and, at the time, said that it was not good enough. Sure it worked for the Reds, but they had Jim Mackay to insist on the vital under-pinning of quality fundamentals. This was always going to be a tenuous situation and will always require constant reinforcement. Alas, it appears that such reinforcement is not forthcoming.
On Friday night, the appearance of Barnes on the pitch signalled a huge change in the accuracy of the Wallaby play, both ball-in-hand and kicking. We had good shape to our game and urgency in realignment. The ball went from the scrum-half to the fly-half frequently - and rarely from 'second-line plays'. Barnes sometimes brought his supporting forwards into the play and, importantly, on the move, not from stationary positions. I liked the look of all this. It asked questions constantly – something 'second-line plays' often do not. Palu has always had the ability to draw defence and pass/off-load to supporting players and, like most big guys, he will do this better from a rolling start. He reminds me a lot of Willie Ofahengaue in this quality. Horne added so much more and even turned in the tackle to keep the play going – rather than the customary "go to ground and have a slow ruck" routine. Fainga'a did his best to bomb the opportunity, but luckily got across the line. I thought that Fainga'a was poor on the night.
Injuries, of course, will play their part but there is a clear need for a reassessment of our selections.
In conclusion, I want to say something about 'statistics'. I have long doubted the value of the standard stats that all/most teams keep and have had numerous conversations with Eddie Jones on the subject. I think that, for starters, their necessarily quantitative nature can be misleading on the quality of our play/players. Take Friday night's game. The following were the game summary stats from the television:
| • | Territory: USA – 54%; Australia – 46%. |
| • | Possession: USA – 53%; Australia – 47%. |
| • | Turnovers: USA – 13; Australia – 12. |
| • | Errors: USA – 6; Australia – 12. |
Who won this game?
| ← Some Real Value, Despite Some Downsides. | More of the Same from the Wallabies → |
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2012
Comments
The successful teams to date have players and plays that have players running straight, parallel to the touch line. Creates space on the outside.
ManuTuilagi of England...The star so far.
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